Electric car development in China is faster, so much starker choices-and graver consequences-in now how should do?For the current car development, some problems of the development of electric vehicles, I have some personal opinions.To ask and discuss with us together here today, there are some and government policy or views may not be the same, as schools of thought contend, ra also mentioned were discussed.
There are seventy days, I entered a much starker choices-and graver consequences-in, much starker choices-and graver consequences-in planning period, the electric car development, I want to speak four questions, the first is the battery is the primary decisive factor, the second is much starker choices-and graver consequences-in battery technology, the third is to use existing batteries, development of electric vehicles.The fourth is to control the electric cars total subsidy, clear enterprise development responsibility.
The first problem, the battery is primary decisive factor in the development of electric vehicles.The safety of the battery and the specific energy is related to the safety of the electric car trip range and, much starker choices-and graver consequences-in electric car trip range of security and, depending on the battery of five-year and much starker choices-and graver consequences-in first two or three years the level of the battery.Beyond the level of battery electric car industry, is a kind of aggressive behavior, will inevitably occur car PaWo, i.e. road after a period of time, or a high mileage, but fuel accident, this will give the state, enterprises and individuals caused great waste.These problems are not unfounded, but a cruel fact.Electric cars in China develops very fast, in fast, a series of problems, need your attention.
The second question, much starker choices-and graver consequences-in battery technology.First, on the premise of safety first to improve the specific energy of lithium-ion batteries.Lithium ion battery is the main power battery for the long term, that there's no doubt about that.To develop high potential of the anode, the current focus is three yuan material, high pressure material also can be developed, but their safety problems.In addition to the cathode for the development of high security, long life to the development of the battery.Three yuan level is the battery to improve security, it is a very serious problem now.Estimates in much starker choices-and graver consequences-in practical monomer ratio energy does not exceed 200 wh/kg.About pure electric bus, I would like to emphasize that there is currently no also PaWo, prematurely senile old scores, which is from the 11th five-year plan to the twelfth five-year left a lot of problems, many cities of pure electric bus already walk, or have not gone, guard against much starker choices-and graver consequences-in continue to produce a similar problem.
Safety first, is to avoid one-sided pursuit of high specific energy.Now it is a very serious tendency, the goal is to travel distance of pure electric vehicles to constantly improve, therefore requires battery than energy will continue to improve, not mention the location of the first to pay attention to the problem of security.Battery is a device that can contain different levels of risk, to increase the specific energy li-ion battery, but safety first.To use high security priority of battery, willing to sacrifice some specific energy.To control the size of the design of the battery, will not occur in a chain reaction, is a battery has a problem, battery don't continue to happen around other combustion phenomena such as explosion, in use to construction safety operation procedures, no abuse of the batteries.
Now phosphate battery high safety, low price, wide application.About the next generation of power battery, there is an argument that is lithium sulfur batteries, due to the lithium ion battery is difficult to realize the electric car 50 km mileage, Japan NEDO lithium lithium sulfur, oxygen is put forward after the lithium ion battery, this is purely a specific energy theory considering draw inferences.I find it hard to count on lithium-sulfur battery, of course, it can be used in other power demand is not high, but on the power battery, it seems to me that Japan's formulation to finally.And the next generation of oxygen power battery is lithium battery, the more dangerous, in addition to just lithium sulfur batteries, bifunctional oxygen cathode is a worldwide problem, over the years is not very good solve, zinc batteries, lithium batteries have encountered such a problem, hope to add this problem to the lithium battery oxygen on more dangerous, more slim hope.I think the country can support individual team to research for a long time, but you can't pin high expectations.I think, the push to lead the increase of carbon battery and applications, because it keeps the advantages of lead-acid batteries, cheap, safe and easy to get, reliable materials.Five-year an important achievement, especially in the part of the nuclear power state high rate discharge cycle life is more than 200000 times, this can be in electric car has a lot of contribution.First, at the micro mixing rev. Stop the car, much starker choices-and graver consequences-in before 2020 as the standard, that is all the fuel vehicles have the start-stop function, lead carbon batteries can play a role.The second is the micro short-range car as a power source.The third is to add the program electric vehicle power supply, so lead to stepped up efforts to improve the carbon battery industry chain, especially the super active carbon, to vigorously promote the new technology.
The third question, it is good use of the existing electric car battery development.Is existing battery should be more mature, don't be aggressive, how to develop the electric car is actually how to use the existing battery well.My claim for much starker choices-and graver consequences-in electric vehicle development, the first is to give the green light for small pure electric vehicles at low speed, here I am again called for, this is already the some of the ministries and commissions of the state attaches great importance to, but have yet to implement.Because electric cars do small, all contradiction can be solved, can be a lot of energy conservation and emissions reduction, meet the needs of the masses of the people.The second point is large and medium-sized cars to pure electric drive program is given priority to.Current performance of lithium ion battery can completely meet the requirements of car increase program, lead carbon batteries have nowhere to go.
Should not be the first is the long range of pure electric vehicles as a key, the problem is now in great controversy, recently some ministries of speech, the meeting will keep on pure electric car, I think for now, is not a very good development.At present the specific energy of lithium ion battery, pure electric vehicle actual mileage is 150 km is reasonable, if the battery is much longer, the car heavy batteries, fuel consumption, requires more battery, so it is not reasonable.Some city emphasizes only pure electric vehicles, now want to magic, this is against law, gradual development, including Beijing.Byd E6, is the earliest do batteries have 700 kilograms, now come back to make plug-in qin, the effect is very good now.Tesla's battery pack 85 KWH, so it has now been burned cars, mainly from burning inside the battery.It also plans to make affordable, not pure do high-grade.So our country should be measured force of battery, standards, development of low-speed minivans, don't have the burden of high-speed, battery not models.
, the second is to develop battery opportunely, increases the electric car, which is in the car with a generator, although generator oil to be burned, but the use of internal combustion engine power is small, only about half, so it can be in the last of the line to run, could fuel efficiency by 50%.Its benefits are many, the existing lithium-ion batteries entirely meet the requirements, a high security.Vehicle in the middle of the road, what are the advantages of a generator to recharge the battery, the battery is the whole is in a state of half of the charge and discharge, it is neither full of also not put out, is in the middle of a charging status.Benefit is small internal resistance, heat is small, but filling, safeguard, however, long cycle life, played down the inconsistency problem, and can simplify the power management system, can also use the ripple of the lithium ion battery, although the car oil to be burned, but can save 50% of the oil, benefit a lot.Last year held by the ministry of transportation of the silk road economic belt of the cultural tour, with the two car increase programs, from lianyungang to urumqi left more than five thousand kilometers, along the way without charge, and colleague's two cars imported passenger cars, fuel 32 l.Also somebody said, increase the program only in city driving high fuel, but the idea behind.Electric cars advantage is that the battery will not increase program power shortage and over discharge, long life, high safety, can need not charging pile driving distance, can charge the battery at night in the parking lot, the user can save money, battery is little, the cost is low, oil-saving rate above 50%.Various countries the degree of development of automobile, Japan make deep mixing car is ripe, so the fuel cell car is a top priority, and our country is to solve the current country can generally promote the use of electric cars, not to follow behind Japan.America is the patent of bypass Japanese cars, so put forward the development of plug-in hybrid.China how to go its own way, I think it's to go pure electric drive program, only this kind of car electric drive, although there are internal combustion engines but it just power generation, power does not directly to the wheels.Program is better than that of the other car, this is not about details.Increases the electric buses, the most easy to make the transition to without subsidies, because it is less dosage, low cost, and cars are the same as life, 12 meters of coach can gradually to one thousand cars, 80 more than 250000, the fuel car use can compensate back to three years in the province of fuel, gas to compensate, there's a problem of a change in perception.The first change is, use energy conservation fuel to counter the difference, it must first recognized that, or have to do so.Promote the development of electric vehicles, is the nation's obligations and responsibilities, not to say that I am willing to do what is not willing to do is not to be, but should be in an effort to everybody.
The third is the high subsidies, don't want to pass the electric car ride from the country, the problem is very serious now.All the big car companies, what kind of car high subsidies, will produce what kind of car, and don't look at the car can run for a long time, really can run safely, the subsidies to catch first hand.Increase program electric cars if they could enjoy a bus fuel subsidies, I think is reasonable, not even use three years of time, you will take back the cost.Program application of electric cars can be many, including bus, taxi, passenger cars, trucks, trucks, Canada has walked in front, existing companies made hybrid electric truck, is actually increase programs, 17 litres of fuel per hundred kilometers, is a pure electric, battery-powered generator.Fuel cell electric vehicles, is actually increases the program, it's just the thickening of the program, the difference is that it USES a fuel cell power generation in the car, used to think that is a battery pack for fuel cell power balance, also can be regarded as the fuel crews take to recharge the battery, increase mileage.Much starker choices-and graver consequences-in don't walk with Japan and the United States, but should hold the point of view, fuel technology development, technology well, to large-scale fuel cell electric vehicles.No other cars, such as gas electric car extended range, chengdu has 90 vehicles, is said to be running very well, the future photovoltaic power generation efficiency, also can use solar power to increase mileage on the car.
Finally I want to talk about, total control of electric cars, clear enterprise development responsibility.In may this year, four ministries announced much starker choices-and graver consequences-in electric car subsidy standard, according to the standard, I do the calculation, subsidies amount is very big, big to what extent, if achieve 5 million vehicles in 2020, according to the four ministries, much starker choices-and graver consequences-in subsidies to 390 billion, this is the central government subsidies, local government subsidies have not calculate inside.How to calculate, the calculation of early, that is, in 2016, according to the electric car in the whole auto production by 1%, 2017 2%, 2018 3%, 2019 4%, 2020 5%, according to a year and one percent the proportion of electric cars, can satisfy much starker choices-and graver consequences-in completed in 2020, five million cars such a goal, the completion of this goal, the subsidies number is 390 billion.390 billion, how many people can create so much wealth, there are 390 billion can do a lot of other things, now for subsidy, what is worth not worth it, should should not be.Long-term high subsidies is not conducive to effectively promote the development of electric vehicles.First of all, the auto production enterprises pursue the highest subsidies pure electric passenger cars, but the battery life is limited, PaWo cars everywhere, national severe losses.Second, most of the subsidies into car the excess profits of the enterprise, ordinary taxpayers' money to supply the money to buy a car of the rich, caused the social injustice.Third, auto production enterprises enjoy interest only, no obligation, no cost reduction effort to produce the demand for the broad masses of the car.Fourth, the government financial burden is too heavy, and drive the development of the electric car the effect not beautiful.Five-year originally ordered 500000 cars, 70 days left now, at 500000 is very difficult to complete.
Our academy of engineering, 19 academicians of the academy of sciences, the joint wrote a proposal to countries, handed in on July 8, the title is "about control electric car subsidy amount, clear enterprise development responsibility advice", suggested that the main content of three.First, set a ceiling for much starker choices-and graver consequences-in electric vehicle total subsidy, hope to set the upper limit by the state council, rather than let the four ministries to use how much calculate how much money, used to calculate, but first calculate again.Second to clear all the responsibility of the auto production enterprises, perfect the policies and measures, namely the appropriate subsidies, responsibility index, excess prize, in order to promote production.The so-called appropriate subsidies, is much starker choices-and graver consequences-in continue to subsidise the electric car, but the amount to reduce, speed up year by year backwards.Responsibility index is to fuel automobile production enterprises have the responsibility to have obligations, increasing the electric car in the ratio of the company production and sales of the product lines, California has already been implemented, the effect significantly, now nine states have followed California in the United States.The third suggestion is that continues to strengthen the development of electric vehicle technology innovation support, is the core content of the policy of California, for auto makers in California sales of passenger cars, small vehicle must contain a certain proportion of zero emission and part of the zero emission vehicle, proportion changing over the years, the demand by 2020, sales of cars in California, there should be a zero discharge of 6% or 3.5% of the zero emission vehicle.If it reaches the lowest score in California, reaching targets, if not will be fine, it has a long-term policy.So we 19 old man together, the average age was 78 years old, is also not old no thing to do, but feel the problem is too serious, so spent a lot of time for such advice, comparison we can share.
First the current battery level determines how much starker choices-and graver consequences-in, electric vehicle industry should develop miniature pure electric vehicles at low speed or increase the program of pure electric vehicles.The second is the government's responsibility to clear automobile enterprises and production of electric cars, perfect the rewards and punishment policies and measures to accelerate subsidies, make our country much starker choices-and graver consequences-in electric cars on the development of better health.Much starker choices-and graver consequences-in in continue to increase the specific energy of lithium ion battery safety first, to increase the difference level ground electric vehicle industry.Fuel cell electric vehicle technology we need to study, not the root of foreign make batch on the road, more stable mentality go his own way.